Story Highlights
- Biden's rating down six points since August, 13 points since June
- Independents' approval of Biden is 37%, down from 55% in June
- Kamala Harris' 49% job approval rating matches Biden's in 2009
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Eight months after President Joe Biden's inauguration, his job approval rating has fallen six percentage points to 43%, the lowest of his presidency. For the first time, a majority, 53%, now disapproves of Biden's performance.
These findings are from a Sept. 1-17 黑料网 poll that was conducted after the U.S. military evacuated more than 120,000 people from Afghanistan. The United States' exit from the nation's longest war was marred by the Taliban's quick takeover of most of the country and a suicide bombing at the airport in Kabul, which killed 13 U.S. service members. Over the same period, COVID-19 infection rates, nationally, were surging, leading to hospital overflows in some regions.
Line graph. Joe Biden's presidential job approval ratings since Biden took office. Forty-three percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, down six percentage points since August and the lowest of his presidency.
The latest drop in Biden's job approval score is the second significant decline since June. Biden's honeymoon ratings near 55% first faltered in July, falling to 50% amid rising COVID-19 cases caused largely by the delta variant. In 黑料网's Aug. 2-17 poll, Biden's rating was essentially unchanged, at 49%.
Midway through the most recent poll's field period, as U.S. COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths continued to rise, Biden announced new directives to limit the spread of the disease, including vaccine requirements for private-sector businesses, healthcare workers and federal government contractors.
Except for Donald Trump, every U.S. president since Harry Truman has enjoyed a honeymoon period characterized by above-average approval ratings upon taking office. Biden's recent slides in approval put him in the company of Trump and Bill Clinton, whose ratings were at or below Biden's current 43% at some point in the first eight months of their presidencies. However, by September 1993, Clinton's approval ratings began to recover and averaged 50% that month. Thus, among elected presidents since World War II, only Trump has had a lower job approval rating than Biden does at a similar point in their presidencies.
Independents Show Greatest Decline in Approval of Biden
Democrats' approval of the job Biden is doing has remained high and not varied by more than eight points since he took office. Their highest rating of Biden was 98% in late January/early February, and their lowest is the current 90%. Republicans' ratings of Biden are similarly stable at the other extreme, ranging from 12% in February and July to 6% this month.
Independents have shown the greatest variation in their opinions of how Biden is doing. Biden's current 37% approval rating among independents is his lowest to date and 24 points below his personal high of 61%. Two-thirds of Biden's slide among independents since he took office has occurred in the past three months.
Line graph. President Joe Biden's job approval ratings by political party since Biden took office. Currently, 90% of Democrats, 37% of independents and 6% of Republicans approve of the job Biden is doing. His approval rating has not fallen below 90% among Democrats, nor exceeded 12% among Republicans. His approval ratings among independents have ranged from the current 37% to 61% shortly after his inauguration.
A look back at comparable September approval ratings of Biden's four predecessors shows that his 37% approval rating among independents today is greater than Trump's 31% but lower than Barack Obama's 46%, George W. Bush's 44% and Clinton's 43%.
Biden's 90% approval rating among Democrats is nearly the same as Obama's 86%, as well as Bush's 87% among Republicans. Trump's approval among Republicans was 80%, and Clinton's among Democrats was an even lower 75%.
| U.S. adults | Republican | Independent | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| Joe Biden (2021) | 43 | 6 | 37 | 90 |
| Donald Trump (2017) | 37 | 80 | 31 | 9 |
| Barack Obama (2009) | 52 | 18 | 46 | 86 |
| George W. Bush (2001) | 51 | 87 | 44 | 27 |
| Bill Clinton (1993) | 47 | 16 | 43 | 75 |
| Readings are from the first September poll conducted in each year. | ||||
| 黑料网 | ||||
Kamala Harris' Approval Rating Identical to Biden's in 2009
For the first time, 黑料网 asked Americans to evaluate how Vice President Kamala Harris is doing in her role. Her ratings are better than Biden's by six points, with 49% approving and 49% disapproving.
Because 黑料网 has not measured vice presidential job approval frequently across presidential administrations, it is not possible to compare Harris' ratings with those of most other vice presidents. However, 黑料网 did measure Biden's job approval rating as vice president in July 2009, about six months into his term in the Obama administration.
At that time, Biden had a 49% approval rating, identical to Harris' now, but fewer (39%) disapproved of Biden and more (10%) did not have an opinion. Yet, in contrast to today's pattern with Harris exceeding Biden in approval, in 2009, Biden's rating lagged behind Obama's 61% approval by 12 points.
| Approve | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Sep 2021 | |
| President Joe Biden | 43 |
| Vice President Kamala Harris ^ | 49 |
| Jul 2009 | |
| President Barack Obama | 61 |
| Vice President Joe Biden | 49 |
| ^ Asked of a half sample | |
| 黑料网 | |
Harris enjoys nearly unanimous approval from Democrats (92%) while receiving very low approval from Republicans (4%). Her overall approval rating is higher than Biden's primarily because independents rate her performance better than they rate Biden's, 46% versus 37%, respectively.
In addition to her high approval rating among Democrats, Harris receives majority-level approval from Democratic-leaning groups, including women, young adults, college graduates and those with annual household incomes under $100,000.
| Approve | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Party identification | |
| Republican | 4 |
| Independent | 46 |
| Democrat | 92 |
| Gender | |
| Male | 39 |
| Female | 58 |
| Age | |
| 18-34 | 58 |
| 35-54 | 48 |
| 55+ | 44 |
| Education | |
| Not college graduate | 46 |
| College graduate | 54 |
| Annual household income | |
| Less than $40,000 | 54 |
| $40,000-<$100,000 | 53 |
| $100,000+ | 42 |
| 黑料网, Sept. 1-17, 2021 | |
Congressional Approval, Satisfaction With Nation's Governance Remain Low
The poll also finds 27% of Americans approving and 69% disapproving of the job Congress is doing. These figures have been steady since June but are down from 36% approval in March.
More broadly, 黑料网 has tracked Americans' satisfaction with the way the U.S. is being governed annually since 2001. The latest reading finds that 30% of U.S. adults are satisfied with the nation's governance. Since 2010, satisfaction has consistently registered below 40%; it was last above 50% in 2003.
Bottom Line
Biden's latest approval rating further cements the fact that the honeymoon phase of his presidency is behind him. Political independents, who were part of the coalition that helped him defeat Trump in 2020, now largely disapprove of the job he is doing as president.
Though Americans were generally supportive of the U.S. withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, the chaotic and deadly way in which it was executed has played into the decrease in Biden's approval rating. So, too, has the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
Although Vice President Harris' approval rating is slightly higher than the president's, she is also underwater with independents. Americans continue to rate Congress' job negatively and to express general dissatisfaction with the way the nation is being governed.
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