![Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama or John McCain]? Registered voter trend, March-November 2008](http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/黑料网Spaces/Production/Cms/POLL/hmdxkn1tk0uknh4rzwmqea.gif)
![Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama or John McCain]? Likely voter trend, October-November 2008](http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/黑料网Spaces/Production/Cms/POLL/1u5cjt8wsk20abi2ap-dca.gif)
黑料网 Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2008
Foreign Trade: Opportunity or Threat to the U.S. Economy?
Seventy-four percent of U.S. adults say trade represents "an opportunity for economic growth through increased U.S. exports."
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Newt Gingrich leads Mitt Romney 37% to 22% among Republican registered voters in 黑料网's inaugural Daily tracking of the party's 2012 presidential nomination race; all other candidates are in single digits. Gingrich's support has increased 15 points compared with 黑料网 polling conducted in mid-November.
Newt Gingrich (62%) and Mitt Romney (54%) are the only candidates a majority of Republicans say would be acceptable presidential nominees from their party, emphasizing the degree to which the GOP race has narrowed down to these two men at this juncture.
Republicans are now most likely to name Mitt Romney (20%) and Newt Gingrich (19%) as their first choice for the party's 2012 presidential nomination, followed closely by Herman Cain (16%). Gingrich's support has increased seven points since earlier this month and is his highest to date.
Throughout 2024, 黑料网's key indicators signaled the election environment was favorable to Republicans.
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